Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.168557 0.199012 0.232980 0.273614 0.320842 0.373942 0.438109
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.123010 0.162945 0.212382 0.277818 0.361868 0.465889 0.604045
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.093563 0.135897 0.192832 0.274433 0.387715 0.538640 0.754029
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.077321 0.121260 0.184549 0.281375 0.424554 0.626984 0.932959
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.063490 0.106606 0.172598 0.279521 0.446582 0.695234 1.090109
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.052092 0.093122 0.159504 0.272805 0.458831 0.748743 1.229833
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.043020 0.081535 0.147141 0.264628 0.466505 0.794594 1.361191
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.038083 0.076086 0.143879 0.270605 0.497328 0.879692 1.563574
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033682 0.070752 0.139840 0.274312 0.524173 0.960363 1.766340
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029661 0.065382 0.134810 0.275254 0.545758 1.033641 1.963192
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026582 0.061334 0.131606 0.278999 0.572579 1.118410 2.188355
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024495 0.058987 0.131357 0.288344 0.610895 1.227598 2.468431
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021102 0.053248 0.123461 0.281428 0.617059 1.278361 2.646679
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018912 0.049872 0.120099 0.283578 0.641934 1.367989 2.909649
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016581 0.045710 0.114338 0.279640 0.653432 1.432007 3.128009
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015272 0.043842 0.113513 0.286591 0.689096 1.548580 3.464227
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013594 0.040691 0.109150 0.284680 0.704719 1.624589 3.722976
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011877 0.037089 0.103106 0.277841 0.708127 1.674510 3.930556
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.010322 0.033624 0.096842 0.269521 0.706915 1.713899 4.118572
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009586 0.032407 0.096278 0.275601 0.741117 1.836123 4.502721
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008829 0.030975 0.094909 0.279373 0.770012 1.948843 4.875462
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.008047 0.029305 0.092616 0.280332 0.791862 2.047054 5.223399
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.007440 0.028083 0.091416 0.284141 0.821536 2.166760 5.632974